4
Alabama
23-9·SEC·Midwest Region
Championship
0.3%
Final Four
4.1%
Elite 8
12.8%
Sweet 16
58.5%
Scouting Report
Alabama lives and dies by the three-pointer. When they're hot, they can outscore anyone. When they're cold, they look lost. That variance makes them a bracket-buster in both directions — they could make the Elite Eight or lose in the first weekend.
Key Player
Mark Sears
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
medium
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 13 Hofstra
92.1%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 5 Texas Tech
58%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Duke
17.5%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
1%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~2
EV Multiplier
50.25x
Alabama is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
24.7
Notes
No additional notes