1
Arizona
32-2·Big 12·West Region
Championship
18.8%
Final Four
57.3%
Elite 8
78.4%
Sweet 16
94.9%
Scouting Report
The best team in college basketball and it's not particularly close. Arizona's defense suffocates opponents at every level — they rank top-3 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The 7-deep rotation means they don't tire in March. The only question is whether the bracket gods give them a kind path or a brutal one.
Key Player
Caleb Love
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 16 LIU
99.7%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 8 Villanova
94.5%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Duke
48.5%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
15%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~15.9
EV Multiplier
6.31x
Arizona is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
34.4
Notes
7-deep roster, elite defense, Big 12 champs