2
Iowa State
27-7·Big 12·Midwest Region
Championship
6.2%
Final Four
28%
Elite 8
59.1%
Sweet 16
90.6%
Scouting Report
When Milan Momcilovic is shooting 50% from three, Iowa State is one of the five best teams in the country. The Big 12 gauntlet has battle-tested them. Their defensive versatility lets them match up with anyone. A legitimate Final Four contender that most casual fans are sleeping on.
Key Player
Milan Momcilovic
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 15 Tennessee State
97.9%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 7 Kentucky
90.8%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Duke
37.6%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
5%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~6
EV Multiplier
16.81x
Iowa State is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
31.5
Notes
Momcilovic 50% from 3