3
Michigan State
25-7·Big Ten·East Region
Championship
1.5%
Final Four
11%
Elite 8
32.2%
Sweet 16
78.2%
Scouting Report
Tom Izzo in March. That's the argument, and it's a good one. Izzo has more Sweet 16 appearances than most programs have tournament wins. Michigan State's physical style and coaching edge make them a matchup problem in the later rounds.
Key Player
Jaden Akins
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 14 North Dakota St
94.7%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 6 Louisville
79.2%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Arizona
27.9%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
2%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~3
EV Multiplier
33.56x
Michigan State is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
28.2
Notes
No additional notes