2
Purdue
27-8·Big Ten·West Region
Championship
1.2%
Final Four
12.5%
Elite 8
38.9%
Sweet 16
80.2%
Scouting Report
Purdue's late-season collapse is alarming. Going 6-7 in their last 13 is the kind of trend that kills bracket dreams. The talent is there, but the confidence is shot. A 2-seed that plays like a 5-seed right now. Proceed with extreme caution.
Key Player
Braden Smith
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
high
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 15 Queens
96.9%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 7 Miami (FL)
78%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Michigan
42%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
4%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~5
EV Multiplier
20.16x
Purdue is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
26.5
Notes
Late-season slide pushed Purdue into long-shot territory