2
Purdue
27-8·Big Ten·West Region
Championship
1.9%
Final Four
16.2%
Elite 8
45.3%
Sweet 16
83.7%
Scouting Report
Purdue's late-season collapse is alarming. Going 6-7 in their last 13 is the kind of trend that kills bracket dreams. The talent is there, but the confidence is shot. A 2-seed that plays like a 5-seed right now. Proceed with extreme caution.
Key Player
Braden Smith
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
high
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 15 Queens
97.8%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 7 Miami (FL)
82.3%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Duke
26.6%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
4%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~5
EV Multiplier
20.16x
Purdue is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
28.2
Notes
Went 6-7 in last 13 — momentum concerns