2
UConn
29-5·Big East·East Region
Championship
7%
Final Four
28.8%
Elite 8
61.9%
Sweet 16
89.7%
Scouting Report
Dan Hurley going for three titles in four years. That's not a stat — it's a cheat code. UConn's tournament pedigree under Hurley is unmatched, and they're sitting as a 2-seed with a chip on their shoulder. If any team knows how to peak in March, it's this one.
Key Player
Alex Karaban
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 15 Furman
98%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 7 UCLA
89.6%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Arizona
40.2%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
6%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~6.9
EV Multiplier
14.41x
UConn is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
31.8
Notes
Dan Hurley going for 3 titles in 4 years