2
UConn
29-5·Big East·East Region
Championship
4.6%
Final Four
24.3%
Elite 8
54.9%
Sweet 16
87.4%
Scouting Report
Dan Hurley going for three titles in four years. That's not a stat — it's a cheat code. UConn's tournament pedigree under Hurley is unmatched, and they're sitting as a 2-seed with a chip on their shoulder. If any team knows how to peak in March, it's this one.
Key Player
Alex Karaban
Injury Status
Healthy
Upset Risk
low
Path to Championship
Round of 64
vs 15 Furman
97.1%
win probability
Round of 32
vs 7 UCLA
78%
win probability
Final Four
vs 1 Michigan
42%
win probability
Pool Value Analysis
Public Pick Rate
6%
Expected Pickers (100-person pool)
~6.9
EV Multiplier
14.41x
UConn is a strong value pick because their championship probability is high relative to public ownership.
Rating Details
Efficiency Rating
30.1
Notes
Still dangerous, but the market pushed UConn behind the top contender tier